Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.027261 0.029352 0.031454 0.033720 0.036093 0.038499 0.041122
2025-12-07 0.022804 0.026035 0.029402 0.033160 0.037224 0.041473 0.046240
2025-12-14 0.019885 0.023720 0.027826 0.032521 0.037715 0.043258 0.049593
2025-12-21 0.017549 0.021767 0.026393 0.031795 0.037884 0.044492 0.052162
2025-12-28 0.016510 0.021146 0.026329 0.032484 0.039525 0.047265 0.056352
2026-01-04 0.015291 0.020210 0.025813 0.032573 0.040415 0.049138 0.059489
2026-01-11 0.014130 0.019255 0.025200 0.032480 0.041035 0.050657 0.062184
2026-01-18 0.013518 0.018911 0.025261 0.033138 0.042493 0.053110 0.065929
2026-01-25 0.012588 0.018118 0.024737 0.033056 0.043049 0.054495 0.068425
2026-02-01 0.011770 0.017414 0.024279 0.033016 0.043621 0.055874 0.070896
2026-02-08 0.010999 0.016726 0.023802 0.032919 0.044098 0.057120 0.073197
2026-02-15 0.010282 0.016069 0.023330 0.032798 0.044520 0.058282 0.075385
2026-02-22 0.009569 0.015421 0.022888 0.032753 0.045095 0.059708 0.077995
2026-03-01 0.008682 0.014499 0.022069 0.032220 0.045069 0.060422 0.079785
2026-03-08 0.007838 0.013583 0.021211 0.031592 0.044888 0.060920 0.081291
2026-03-15 0.007037 0.012674 0.020318 0.030879 0.044564 0.061215 0.082529
2026-03-22 0.006801 0.012569 0.020496 0.031555 0.045993 0.063662 0.086384
2026-03-29 0.006379 0.012161 0.020240 0.031643 0.046659 0.065160 0.089079
2026-04-05 0.005929 0.011684 0.019865 0.031551 0.047080 0.066344 0.091385
2026-04-12 0.005746 0.011605 0.020041 0.032197 0.048455 0.068722 0.095170
2026-04-19 0.005352 0.011173 0.019694 0.032117 0.048872 0.069890 0.097455
2026-04-26 0.004998 0.010780 0.019388 0.032077 0.049331 0.071104 0.099795
2026-05-03 0.004652 0.010380 0.019054 0.031983 0.049706 0.072205 0.101991